First in a series of reports on biomedical
engineering innovations
Illustration: Victor Koen
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Childhood is a special
time indeed. If only we could maintain
our body functions as they are at age 10, we could
expect to live about 5000 years on average.
Unfortunately, from age 11 on, it's all downhill!
The problem is that our bodies deteriorate with age.
For most of our lives, the risk of death is increasing
exponentially, doubling every eight years. So, why do we
fall apart, and what can we do about it?
Many scientists now believe that, for the first time
in human history, we have developed a sophisticated
enough understanding of the nature of human aging to
begin seriously planning ways to defeat it. These
scientists are working from a simple but compelling
notion: the body, far from being a perfect creation, is
a failure-prone, defect-ridden machine formed through
the stochastic process of biological evolution. In this
view, we can be further improved through genetic
engineering and be better maintained through preventive,
regenerative, and antiaging medicine and by repairing
and replacing worn-out body parts. In short, the rate at
which we fall apart could be decreased, maybe even to a
negligible level.
The quest to understand and control aging has led us,
two biologists, to draw inspiration from what might seem
an unlikely source: reliability engineering. The
engineering approach to understanding aging is based on
ideas, methods, and models borrowed from reliability
theory. Developed in the late 1950s to describe the
failure and aging of complex electrical and electronic
equipment, reliability theory has been greatly improved
over the past several decades. It allows researchers to
predict how a system with a specified architecture and
level of reliability of its constituent parts will fail
over time.
The theory is so general in scope that it can be
applied to understanding aging in living organisms as
well. In the ways that we age and die, we are not so
different from the machines we build. The difference, we
have found, is minimized if we think of ourselves in
this unflattering way: we are like machines made up of
redundant components, many of which are defective right
from the start.