PHOTO: Max Dolberg
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The index was posted on a Web site designed by
Wilder’s wife and began attracting over 100 000 hits a
month. E-mails flooded in from people who wanted to buy
into it. “Josh had created the original index in the
public interest and together we had cocreated the
WilderHill Clean Energy Index,” says Wilder, “to show
that stocks in technologies that don’t pollute could go
up. I had to tell these people, ‘go away, I am just an
academic trying to make a point,’ but I felt badly.”
In 2003 Wilder says he “danced a jig” when
PowerShares, a company that manages exchange-traded
funds, approached him to create a fund that would track
the clean technology sector. Wilder became CEO of
WilderShares, his and Landess’s new company, and they
gave the rights to create an exchange-traded fund of the
Clean Energy Index to PowerShares (a completely
independent entity). The index is composed of six
sectors (renewable energy supplies, energy storage,
cleaner fuels, energy conversion, greener utilities, and
power delivery and conservation). Each sector is
assigned a weight in the total index according to
technological relevance to clean energy. Each company is
then assigned an equal weight within its sector,
regardless of its market capitalization. This indexing
methodology differs from traditional methods, like that
used to create the Standard & Poor’s 500, where
sectors and companies are weighted according to their
market capitalization. In the WilderHill indexes, no
stock can exceed 4 percent of the total index weight
regardless of the size of its market cap, and each
quarter the index is rebalanced and sometimes revised.
Wilder says weighting by sector importance rather than
by sector capitalization makes better economic sense.
For example, hydrogen-fuel-cell makers represent a much
larger market capitalization than solar companies, but
because Wilder believes the solar sector has a much more
promising future it has a heavier weighting in the ECO
index.
Unlike the typical stock analyst, Wilder rarely
visits the companies he is researching. “It is too easy
to get ‘captured’ that way,” he says. If he does speak
to company executives it is to the engineers not the
marketing executives. Instead, he scours the science and
technology journals and published research papers for
bright ideas. “Many of our companies are close to the
R&D phase and have an active portfolio of papers and
articles on their emerging technology,” he says.
A typical ECO stock pick is Phoenix-based First
Solar, which was added to the index in January 2007
because Wilder wanted a manufacturer of thin-film
cadmium telluride solar modules represented in the
index, in addition to silicon-crystalline panel makers.
“With the current silicon shortage, crystalline solar
panel costs are going up,” he explains. “But thin film
cad cells use hardly any silicon, so they can sell into
the bottleneck and take advantage of demand.” Over the
long term, Wilder believes the efficiencies of thin-film
technologies will be improved sufficiently to keep First
Solar competitive even if the silicon shortage eases.
When it comes to the relative efficiencies of solar
panels Wilder knows whereof he speaks. At his home
office in Encinitas, Calif., he operates a veritable
clean-tech laboratory, monitoring the efficiencies of a
variety of solar panels and posting their performance
with a live feed to his Web site. He lights his home
almost entirely with LEDs and owns a Digital Light
Processing TV rather than a plasma one, because the
former is so much more energy efficient. His house is
constructed of “breathable” clay interior walls and a
white-foam flat roof that create a passive internal
cooling system without artificial air-conditioning. “We
try to live it, to eat our own pudding,” says Wilder.
“My wife and I embrace our nerdiness and our kids go
along because they have grown up that way. It is nice to
have a truly working knowledge.”
Wilder is also researching hybrid technologies with
his Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Project, manned by a
group of young engineering students. “I am not out to
compete with any big hybrid companies but just to change
perceptions,” says Wilder. “ For years we have heard
that plug-in hybrid technology ‘isn’t there yet,’ but
that just isn’t true. We will be able to run this car
for 20 miles on electricity alone (exclusively on solar
if charged in the daytime) which is just fine for me
because I don’t drive very far.”
In addition to authoring a book, Listening to the
Sea (University of Pittsburgh Press, 1998),
which investigates the topic of “ocean governance” and
the technologies that prevent ocean pollution, Wilder
has also continued to break ground with new indexes. In
early 2006, he and Landess collaborated with Michael
Liebreich of London-based New Energy Finance on the
first global clean energy index, WilderHill New Energy
Global Innovation, composed of between 80 and 90
companies diversified across the clean energy sector and
based in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. In June
2007 the PowerShares Global Clean Energy Portfolio (PBD)
was launched. It holds the same stocks in the same
weights as the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation
Index.
In October 2006, Wilder and Landess, incorporated as
Progressive Energy, published “The WilderHill
Progressive Energy Index,” to satisfy what Wilder calls
“an intellectual craving” to create an index of
companies whose technologies are helping to reduce
fossil-fuel-generated carbon emissions. In another
first, in July 2007, the Chicago Climate Exchange (the
first North American market where companies can buy and
sell greenhouse-gas-emissions contracts to manage their
carbon footprints) launched its first stock index
futures contract on the ECO index. (Futures contracts
give investors the ability to buy or sell the index at
some future date at a predetermined price.)
Since the ECO index debuted, banks and other
financial institutions have launched over 20 other clean
energy indexes, reflecting the market’s growing interest
in the sector. Nonetheless, the WilderHill indexes are
likely to remain the industry benchmarks for some time
to come. “I think Wilder’s approach makes sense,” says
Sacha Millstone a Boulder Colo.–based investment advisor
with the Millstone Evans Group who recommends the
PowerShares WilderHill exchange-traded funds to her
clients interested in clean technology investing. “At
this stage many of these companies are overvalued from a
purely financial perspective. But Wilder is looking at
the best technologies and that is what will be driving
the brands in this industry over the long term.”