Senior Advisor, Directorate for Engineering, National
Science Foundation
Most Important
Technology of the Last 40 Years:
Computational capability—both greater power and its
distributed nature.
Most Important
Technology for the Coming Decade:
Distributed sensing, which goes hand in hand with
computational capability.
Technology That has
Evolved in a Surprising Way:
Bottled water.
"Forty years ago, I never would have thought that we
would be lugging bottled water around. We are a
risk-averse society right now, so people will get rid of
any risk they think they can, if they have the money.
It's a new factor in trying to understand how people
make sustainable decisions in their lives.
"The pace of technological change and the complexity
of natural environmental change overwhelm our human and
social systems' ability to deal with them. We need
fundamental research that relates the sources of change
to how humans and social systems react in order to
manage, to live with, to perturb—whatever it is that we
do with—these changes.
"Distributed sensing is about being able to observe
freshly and innovatively the world around us, both the
constructed and the natural environments, and indeed our
own organizational and social environments. These
systems are too complex to model explicitly, and we can
now make more complex models than we can validate. So
it's very important to build the observational
capability through networked sensors, whether they're on
satellite platforms, airborne devices, or ground-based.
For example, the planet's water resource capacity will
be newly observed, so we'll understand more about what's
going on with our water balance and what role the oceans
play in their vastness. Then we can change the models
and make better decisions that are sustainable. We're
right on the edge of what I think of as the Sensing
Revolution, and it's very exciting."