Brazilian officials I interviewed say that enrichment
capability is important for two main reasons. The first
is strategic. Brazil has the world's eighth largest
uranium reserves [see table, "Where Is the Uranium?"],
and enrichment would give Brazil nuclear fuel autonomy.
The second reason is economic. About 90 percent of the
world's nuclear power plants—397 of a total of
441—depend on enrichment services to get their fuel.
It's a US $5-billion-a-year global market, in which
Brazil hopes to participate sometime in the future.
"Brazil has large uranium reserves, and it now has
enrichment technology. We can't ignore this
opportunity," says Samuel Fayad Filho, director of
nuclear fuel production at Nuclear Industries of Brazil
(INB), the state-owned company that has the monopoly to
mine uranium and produce nuclear fuel. In an interview
this past June in his office in Resende, a 2-hour drive
from Rio de Janeiro, Fayad said that the goal is to
produce 20 to 30 metric tons of enriched uranium per
year, or about 60 percent of domestic fuel requirements,
by 2008 or 2009, possibly reaching 100 percent by 2010.
But quite a few analysts find it difficult to
understand why Brazil is putting so much effort into
enrichment capability. At the moment, they say, there's
plenty more supply than demand for enrichment services,
and for the scale of the Brazilian nuclear energy
program it would be cheaper to buy enrichment services
abroad.
Brazil currently operates two nuclear power plants
[see map, "From
Mines to Reactors"]. These reactors, named
Angra 1 (657 megawatts of electrical output) and Angra 2
(1350 MWe), provide 4.1 percent of the country's
electricity. Today Brazil ships its uranium to be
enriched in Europe. By doing this processing at home,
Brazil expects to save at least $12 million per year.
It's not much compared with the 400 million reais (about
$180 million) INB is putting into the plant, not to
mention its operational costs.
Whether Brazil's bet on uranium enrichment will ever
pay off depends on the world supply of nuclear fuel and
also on the extent to which nuclear power generation
grows in industrializing countries like China and in
developed countries like the United States. As world
energy needs continue to rise rapidly, and with concerns
over oil prices and greenhouse gas emissions, there's
been talk of a nuclear power renaissance, and some
analysts foresee a substantial increase in the demand
for enrichment services.
The Brazilian government has recently completed a
major review of its nuclear program. According to that
study, a possible scenario is that Brazil will finish
the 1300-MWe Angra 3 reactor and will build one new
1300-MWe plant and two Brazilian-designed 300 MWe
plants, at a total cost of $6.1 billion. With that many
plants, Brazil says it would make sense for the country
to make its own fuel.
Brazil's Centrifuge
Plant [see photo "Atomic Autonomy"] is the
newest addition to the Resende nuclear complex, which
since the late 1980s has been operated by the INB as a
reactor fuel fabrication facility. The
6-square-kilometer site resides in the vicinity of the
lush green jungle of the Itatiaia National Park, a
pocket of native Brazilian forest where you can find
toucans, marmoset monkeys, and possibly even the
endangered guarĂ¡ wolf. At the entrance to the complex,
with its well-manicured lawns, you may well think you're
approaching a country club. While I was visiting the
enrichment plant last year, its first linked group of
centrifuges—called a cascade—was undergoing a final
round of tests. Outside, a troop of construction workers
was putting up new buildings to house thousands of
centrifuges in nine more cascades.
The centrifuges that are being installed at Resende
were developed by the Brazilian navy, which manufactures
and installs them for the INB. After nearly three
decades perfecting the machines, Brazilian navy
engineers say they significantly improved on previous
designs. Their centrifuges, which they say use 100
percent Brazilian technology, include a novel feature:
their rotors—the spinning cylinders that are the heart
of this type of machine—levitate, spinning
frictionlessly, thanks to actively controlled
electromagnetic bearings. All other centrifuges
operating commercially have rotors that spin on metal
pin bearings. The electromagnetic mechanism, the
Brazilians say, makes their machines more efficient and
durable.