This is part of IEEE Spectrum's SPECIAL
REPORT: THE SINGULARITY
PHOTO: Left: Steve Pyke/Contour by Getty Images
Right: Gregg Segal
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MIT professor Neil Gershenfeld and technology futurist
Ray Kurzweil have long worked at the leading edges of
physical science and computer science. Today, in their
own ways, both believe that we are on the event horizon
of a technological singularity. But they arrived at this
conclusion from two very different directions,
discovered one child prodigy who has both of these
luminaries as mentors.
Well before Gershenfeld and Kurzweil's different
visions of the future merged, their thoughts came
together to influence the mind of David Dalrymple, now
age 16 and an MIT graduate student. Dalrymple began
corresponding with Gershenfeld in 1999 at the tender age
of 8. Later that year, Gershenfeld invited him to a
White House event to demonstrate a device he had built
using Lego Mindstorms. There Dalrymple met Kurzweil, who
had built some of the earliest music synthesizers and
the first text-to-speech synthesizer. At age 9,
Dalrymple joined Kurzweil as a presenter at TED, the
conference on Technology, Entertainment, Design.
Dalrymple worked with Kurzweil for three summers while
an undergraduate at the University of Maryland Baltimore
County; he
graduated at age 13. Dalrymple is now
working toward his Ph.D. under Gershenfeld.
Gershenfeld, director of MIT's Center for Bits and
Atoms, studies the boundary between computer science and
physical science, looking toward a future in which they
merge, computers essentially disappear into the physical
world, and everything becomes programmable. Kurzweil has
been fascinated with modeling the physical world in
computers—simulation, artificial intelligence, and
virtual reality—and believes if he takes good care of
his health, he may just survive long enough to see
computers that are far smarter than people.
For years, Dalrymple has been trying to reconcile
these two visions of the future: Gershenfeld's future in
which computers collapse and simply become part of
reality, and Kurzweil's future in which reality as we
know it collapses and simply becomes part of computers.
In an e-mail exchange prompted by a lunchtime discussion
in Gershenfeld's laboratory during which another student
referred to Kurzweil's work, Dalrymple asked his
mentors, “Is it possible for both to happen at the same time?”
Says Kurzweil, who is involving both visions in the
making of two films about the singularity (Transcendent
Man is in post-production; The
Singularity is Near will complete filming
this summer):
“We see these apparently opposing trends in many
contexts. Studying natural intelligence gives us the
insights to create artificial intelligence while at the
same time artificial intelligence is extending our
natural intelligence. Reverse-engineering biology is
giving us creative new designs for advanced
technologies, while those same technologies overcome the
limitations of biology.
“As Neil points out, we will be infusing physical
reality with embedded, distributed, self-organizing
computation everywhere. And at the same time we will be
using these massive—and exponentially
expanding—computational resources to create
increasingly realistic, full-immersion virtual reality
environments that compete with and ultimately replace
real reality.
“We get from today's world to the remarkable world of
the future not in one giant leap but in
thousands—millions—of little steps which go in
apparently disparate and even contradictory directions.”
Indeed, Gershenfeld says that he and Kurzweil are no
longer predicting a different future:
“I had always considered Ray and me to be headed in
opposite directions: he developed artificial
intelligence and virtual worlds while I was interested
in the ‘natural' intelligence of physical systems; he
forecast the future while I was investigating
technologies that are possible in the present.
“The result for me has been an increasingly close
integration of physical science and computer science,
bringing the programmability of the digital world to the
physical world. But whether computers are merged with
reality or reality is merged with computers, the result
is the same: the boundary between bits and atoms disappears.
“It's as if Ray went east and I went west, but we
arrived at the same point, which is exactly the
definition of a singularity.”
For more articles,
videos, and special features, go to The
Singularity Special Report