Photo: peter bialobrzeski/laif/redux
|
OLD AND NEW: Shanghai's skycrapers rise above the older
parts of the city.
|
Cities—whether you love them or hate them, before
long most of us will be living in them. By 2008, more
than half the world's population will be urban dwellers.
By 2030, 4.9 billion, or 60 percent of us, will call the
city home.
This special report focuses on how to solve some of
the big engineering challenges we face as the world's
cities multiply, grow, and mature, particularly as they
are being played out in the largest and most complicated
urban habitats human beings have ever lived in:
megacities. In 1950, there were just two cities with
populations of 10 million or more: New York–Newark and
Tokyo. But by 2015, according to the United Nations,
there will be 22 megacities, and 12 of these will have
populations of 15 million or more.
Not all of the challenges of urban life have a
technological solution, of course. But we found five
cities—Shanghai, São Paulo, Mumbai, Tokyo, and New
York—that have come up with particularly innovative
solutions to some of the biggest problems cities face:
pollution, transportation, energy, natural disaster, and
crime.
We begin in Shanghai, where explosive growth has led
to the kind of pollution that smothers most metropolises
at some point in their life cycles. Senior Associate
Editor Steven Cherry traveled to Shanghai to visit what
city developers there hope will be the first “eco-city,”
Dongtan [see “How to
Build a Green City”]. Being built on an
island off the coast of Shanghai, Dongtan is in some
sense the antithesis of all we've come to associate with
big cities. Development plans for this “city within a
city” call for it to be modest in size (500 000
residents) and scaled for the people who will live
there—not for automobiles or architectural monoliths.
It is also designed to be completely self-sufficient,
providing its own food and energy.
Utopian schemes like these have been
tried—unsuccessfully—before. But if Dongtan works, it
could be a city-scale test bed for the Cradle to Cradle
ideas of architect William McDonough and chemist Michael
Braungart. These two men have championed the notion of
using or re-engineering existing technologies to
maximize efficiency and significantly reduce pollution
and waste of all kinds. Their model depends on reusing,
reducing, and recycling materials rather than making
things, using them, and throwing them out. Chinese
officials hope Dongtan will offer practical lessons
about pollution control and sustainability that can be
applied to Shanghai proper, as well as to their other
rapidly growing urban areas.
Looking at problems of urban development is nothing
new for IEEE Spectrum. In July 1976, we did a special
report called “Circa 2000: A Special Bicentennial Issue
on Cities of the Future.” It bemoaned the fact that
urban areas were being overrun and polluted by
gas-guzzling cars. Thirty years later, we're still
struggling with pretty much the same problem, as
Associate Editor Erico Guizzo describes in “How to
Keep 18 Million People Moving.” To find
out how mass transit can be made more attractive, he
studied São Paulo's bus-based transit system, considered
to be the most complex in the world. And while buses may
seem old hat, this transportation system relies on a
host of advanced technologies to coordinate its 26 000
vehicles for maximum efficiency.
Power is the economic lifeblood of the 21st-century
city, especially for a boomtown like Mumbai (formerly
Bombay). But Mumbai's economy has grown so quickly in
recent years—40 percent of India's income tax revenue
now comes from this one city—that its electrical grids
are sagging under the weight of this newfound
prosperity. Senior
Editor Harry Goldstein flew to Mumbai to
take a look at the innovative plans being put in place
by Indian power players Tata and Reliance to keep the
grids up and running in the short run while developing
systems to deliver a lot more power over the long haul.
At the moment Mumbai is the only Indian city to enjoy
reliable 24/7 electrical power, but that could change
this summer if demand continues to surge.
Next we considered Tokyo. The Japanese capital has
clean air, safe streets, and a high standard of living.
It also has earthquakes. Big ones. To write “How to
Master a Seismic Disaster,” Senior Editor
Jean Kumagai went to Tokyo to learn about the earthquake
early-warning network that has been installed throughout
the country. This network offers small windows of
warning, perhaps just enough time to help prevent
catastrophic loss of life and help contain property
damage. A number of present and future megacities face
the same seismic dilemma and would certainly benefit
from using such technologies.
It wasn't all that long ago that New York City was
thought to be so crime-ridden as to be uninhabitable.
Basic policing improvements helped turn that around. Now
the city's police force is going high tech. Senior News
Editor William Sweet and Senior Associate Editor Stephen
Cass (who came up with the idea for this report) take us
through the city's new Real Time Crime Center in
“How to
Fight Crime in Real Time.” It allows the
force to centralize and data-mine the enormous amount of
information gathered every day by officers on the beat.
Spurred by the 9/11 terrorist attack on the World Trade
Center, the US $11 million system allows instant access
to millions of criminal and arrest records.
Technology has always played a central role in the
life—and death—of great and not-so-great cities. And
as you will see here, it has much to offer in the
future. Can any city be engineered to a Utopian ideal?
Probably not. But we are social creatures. The bright
lights of big cities will continue to draw us together,
and technology can nudge our increasingly urban
development in the direction of peaceful, clean, and
safe communal living.
To see all of
Spectrum's special
report on The Megacity, including online extras and
audio and video exclusives, go to http://spectrum.ieee.org/moremegacity.