Photo: Hulton Archive/Getty Images
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JUST IMAGINE: A fanciful vision of New York City.
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Back in April, as IEEE Spectrum’s editors were putting
the final touches on this issue, Mayor Michael Bloomberg
of New York City announced a sweeping urban development
program, one of the city’s most ambitious ever. Such a
high-profile press conference, decades ago, would have
probably trumpeted a stupendous new bridge, a tunnel, or
a mass-transit system. But on that warm Sunday
afternoon, Bloomberg proposed a dizzying assortment of
127 different initiatives and regulations aimed at
cutting the city’s greenhouse-gas emissions 30 percent
by the year 2030.
Audacious as it was in scope, the plan didn’t really
have anything new. Charging motorists to come into the
city center during the day? London’s been doing it since
2003. Planting a million new trees? Adelaide, Australia,
started doing that in 2002. Replacing dirty, decrepit,
and ancient electric generators with shiny, new, and
efficient ones? Since when did that count as a masterstroke?
Indeed, many of the technologies Bloomberg wants
deployed in New York, one of the five megacities
featured in this issue, will be brought together for the
first time in Dongtan, a planned minimetropolis being
constructed within the megacity of Shanghai [see
“How to
Build a Green City,” in this issue].
Still, Bloomberg’s proposal for New York, with its
fractious politics, bureaucratic inertia, and byzantine
land-use deals, was an unmistakable sign that something
big was happening. The sustainable-city movement had
reached second gear.
And yet, as necessary as all this is, you can’t help
wondering how it would have disappointed the visionaries
who, 75 years ago, figured that our cities would be way
beyond all that by now. They saw the city of the future
as a vast playground of gleaming towers connected by
whooshing people-mover thingies. A place where great
thinkers advanced civilization in climate-controlled
comfort, while wearing utilitarian but smartly designed uniforms.
That vision reached some sort of pinnacle in the 1930
motion picture Just
Imagine, an extraordinarily bizarre art-deco
sci-fi musical. For the picture, Fox Film Corp.
constructed, in an airship hangar, a fantastically
detailed model of New York City in 1980 [see photo,
“Just Imagine”]. Absurd though the movie’s plot is
(pills have replaced food, and babies come from vending
machines), this model city was supposedly constructed
under the guidance of engineering and urban-planning
experts. It took 205 engineers and craftsmen five months
to build the model, and it cost about a quarter million
dollars, at a time when that kind of money could buy an
oceanfront estate.
The model resembles the urban visions of two classic
films of that same era—Metropolis and
Things to
Come. You simply can’t imagine the leaders of
these futuristic cities agonizing about air quality,
traffic patterns, and the condition of the school-bus
fleet. No, in Metropolis and
Things to
Come, they have bigger things to contend
with: a subterranean slave-labor problem and a Luddite
insurrection, respectively.
Technology isn’t going to bring us anything like these
visions, with their whooshing people movers, spaceports,
and robot servants. What it will bring, as the articles
in this issue describe and as Bloomberg’s speech
confirms, is greater sustainability. We’ll get much more
efficient energy use, transportation, and waste
disposal. Technology will also deliver greater security,
as computers and sensors are deployed to correlate and
disperse data about crime and terrorism, to warn of big
earthquakes, and to monitor and plan mass-transit operations.
In developing cities such as Mumbai, it’s starting to
become clear that technology will also be increasingly
used to help isolate a privileged minority from the
instabilities and deprivations of life in the third
world. (Hey, shades of Metropolis—now
there’s some irony!)
And we’ll always have those old, quaint, luminous,
utopian archetypes, if only on our television screens.
Someday they’ll remind us that after we make cities
sustainable, there will still be those ridiculously tall
towers and maglev people movers to get started on.