In 2004,
three years after its entry into theWorld Trade
Organization (WTO), in Geneva, and a
quarter-centuryafter China began welcoming foreign
investment, China'strade volume hit $1.2 trillion,
displacing Japan asthe world's third largest trading
nation, behind theUnited States and Germany. This
milestone is all themore staggering in light of the fact
that China's two-waytrade, barely $20 billion in 1978,
has increased 60-foldsince then. For the first time in
history, what Chinadoes, or does not do, ripples with
consequence acrossthe planet.
But this dramatic transformation is putting huge
strains on China. It's easy enough to see on a quick
tour through Chengdu. The city's environmental quality
and headache-inducing traffic congestion, for starters,
leave much to be desired[see China's
Cyclists Take Charge and A Market
for Clean Air in this issue]. Fifteen
percent of city sewage goes untreated—practically
pristine by national standards, but still too high to
make the tap water drinkable. More critical are the
power shortages. Rolling blackouts throughout the year
leave some neighborhoods (although never the wealthiest
ones) without power for up to five days per week.
Another source of tension is land. Here as elsewhere,
real estate developers are gobbling up whole
neighborhoods to make way for office high-rises, malls,
and apartment complexes, bringing a mostly modern sheen
to the city [see photo, "Urban
Renewal"]. In the vast high-tech development
zone, amid the hundreds of corporate complexes stand
crumbling stone farmhouses. Although Chengdu's official
boosters insist that "nobody lives here now," clearly
some still do.
Just southwest of Chengdu, zealous land grabs have
turned explosive. In November, tens of thousands of
farmers in Hanyuan County seized the local government
headquarters and held the Communist Party chief hostage
for several days. Their beef: the government had
unfairly claimed their land for a dam project, and to
add insult to injury, officials had pocketed most of the
money earmarked to compensate them.
The Chinese are still not allowed to own the land they
live on, making it easy for an unscrupulous official to
expropriate a farmer's fields or a town dweller's house
to make way for a new factory or golf course. It took 10
000 paramilitary troops to quell the Hanyuan
disturbance, and one policeman was killed and several
protesters injured in the process, according to news
accounts that appeared in Hong Kong and the United States.
Most such incidents go unreported in China, where the
government still maintains tight control of the news
media. But there are tens of thousands of spontaneous
uprisings every year against corrupt officials and
abusive police, according to official statistics. The
number of incidents has increased steadily during the
last several years, as have individual petitions to the
central government seeking redress against local
officials who collect illegal fees, steal compensation
funds, or persecute personal enemies.
Far from having a monolithic and highly centralized
government, China is in fact quite decentralized, and
local and provincial leaders have enormous leeway. When
the system works, it works quite well. Chengdu's mayor
and party chief, Li Chuncheng, is seen as one of the
driving forces behind the city's high-tech successes and
has been anointed in the official Chinese media as "one
of the 10 rising stars in Chinese politics." An
electromechanical engineer by training, he is reputed to
be close to China's president, Hu Jintao.
But when the system breaks down, it can do so
spectacularly. In late January, the media reported that
officials in Gansu province, one of China's poorest, had
embezzled nearly $1 billion set aside for infrastructure
and compensation for evicted homeowners.
Social unrest is not confined to the rural interior.
In some heavily industrialized cities, including
Shenzhen, worker unrest is palpable. Workers in China
are barred from organizing, and those who do risk being
fired, beaten, or imprisoned. Even so, labor protests
are proliferating, triggered by unpaid wages and
pensions, sudden and massive job terminations, and an
end to most of the socialist benefits that had been
guaranteed since the earliest days of the Communist
regime in the 1950s. Indeed, many Chinese ruefully note
that the United States, with its unemployment insurance,
Social Security, and Medicare, is now more socialist
than China.