It's 8 a.m. and Shanghai is moving.
For the cars and trucks crammed together on the elevated
highway cutting through downtown, it's a slow crawl.
On the smaller roads below, traffic is rolling at a steady
10 to 15 kilometers per hour in what looks like a more
traditional Chinese street scene. Vying with the cars
and trucks for the same strip of pavement are a motley
assortment of two- and three-wheeled vehicles—everything
from simple steel-frame bikes and heavily laden pedal-powered
carts to motorized scooters.
Hidden within this stream is an entirely novel, homegrown class
of commuter vehicle: electric bikes and scooters
[see photo, "Moving"].
There are an estimated 1 million electric two-wheelers on Shanghai's
streets; yet to the Western observer it is only what's
missing that gives them away. Some look like scooters,
but they have no tailpipe spewing exhaust, no sputtering
engine. Some look like fanciful bicycles, but their pedals
are oddly still as riders relax and let the battery-powered
electric motor whisk them to work.
For all the talk of China's growing infatuation with automobiles,
the world's most populous nation continues to roll primarily
on two wheels—and, increasingly, an electric motor
drives them. The China Bicycle Association, a government-chartered
industry group in Beijing, estimates that last year manufacturers
sold 7.5 million electric bikes nationwide—nearly
double the sales in 2003—and they are likely to
ship more than 10 million this year. That's three times
as many as the most optimistic projections for auto sales
in China.
There's a powerful desire for motorized personal transportation
in China as its cities sprawl. The electric bicycle is
an attractive option for commuters, service people, and
couriers [see photo, "Pizza! Pizza!"].
At 1500 to 3000 yuan (US $180 to $360),
an electric bike is buyable at a small fraction of the
cost of an automobile. It is also exhilarating. Hop on
and crank the throttle, and an electric motor built into
the hub propels you to speeds of 20 km/h or more.
Despite the obvious appeal of electric bikes, some Chinese cities
have banned them altogether, alleging environmental drawbacks
and concerns about public safety. But that hasn't stopped
millions from buying electric two-wheelers in China—an
astonishing development for advocates who have struggled
for a decade to build a market for electric bikes in
the United States and Europe.
"It is the dawn of a new era in electric bicycles," says
Frank E. Jamerson, a former leader in electric vehicle
R and D at General Motors Corp. whose Naples, Fla.-based
consultancy recently completed a worldwide review of
developments in light electric vehicles. "The electric
bike is now a real player." Jamerson says China's electric
bicycles accounted for roughly three-quarters of the
electric vehicles (EVs) sold worldwide last year.
"Courtesy of the Chinese domestic market, we now have very cheap
electric propulsion systems that will move a human being," says
Ed Benjamin, vice president of the Light Transport Division
at electric-propulsion-technology firm WaveCrest Laboratories
LLC, in Dulles, Va., and an authority on electric-bicycle
markets. "The question is: what are we going to do with
them? I'd say we don't know yet."