Growth Curves: How much more valuable does a network
become as it grows? That depends on what
kind of network it is. Let's say you have n
users. The value of a television or some
other broadcast network grows linearly, as
shown by Sarnoff's Law [green] here. At the
other extreme, according to Reed's Law
[purple], growth in value of certain
networks—those that can form groups, such
as e-mail lists—is exponential (2n). In
between are ordinary, member-based networks
such as AOL, or all of AT&T's phone
customers. Metcalfe's Law [red] says they
grow in value quadratically (n2). We argue,
instead, that such growth increases
logarithmically as n log(n)
[blue], a much slower rate.