Not so long ago, if you looked up in the sky and saw a
passenger jet, chances were roughly 80 percent that it
was made by the Boeing Co. That was then; this is now.
Boeing, based in Chicago, has changed its flight plan.
Fiercely committed until recently to producing the
world's best airplanes—and making just about every part
of them—it now wants to become the dominant player in
the military and aerospace businesses. Those markets
increasingly provide the greater part of its revenues,
which were about US $50 billion in 2003.
In commercial aviation, faced with a sharp challenge
from Europe's Airbus SAS, the company hopes to achieve
efficiencies—like Airbus—by styling itself as a
large-scale systems integrator. It expects to buy
airframe subsystems from suppliers for less than it
would cost to make them itself. It will put together
large sections of planes at its Everett, Wash.,
facility, leaving its suppliers with the job of making
nuts, bolts, and panels.
The recent news about Boeing has been encouraging,
including a positive first-quarter earnings report and a
huge launch order for the much-anticipated 7E7
Dreamliner midsize jet [see photo, "Boeing's Bet"]. But if
Boeing is to maintain its preeminent position in
commercial aviation and successfully meet the Airbus
challenge, it will have to confront head-on the basic
and large-scale problems that have undermined confidence
in its future [see box, "Daunting
Difficulties"].
Boeing's market share, once 75 percent, is now barely
50 percent, based on the number of new orders per year.
In 2003, it delivered fewer planes than Airbus did—281
versus 305—for the first time. Airbus had already taken
the lead in new aircraft orders in 1999 and, through
2003, it continued to outpace Boeing in this area.
Among The Big
Issues facing Boeing, the most serious and
widespread concern, expressed by insiders and outsiders,
is where the company is setting its sights. In
commercial jet production—which Boeing dominated for a
century, mainly because of the technological superiority
of its aircraft—there are indications that it is no
longer doing the things that kept it ahead of the pack.
Jennifer MacKay, president of the Society of
Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace (SPEEA,
Seattle), the main union representing engineers and
technical workers at Boeing, told IEEE Spectrum that
Boeing makes no bones about its willingness to be second
best. MacKay, a former Boeing engineer, says a top
official at Boeing's commercial airplane division once
told her that the company's Chicago brass had decided
not to keep trying to be world class at everything.
Boeing would focus on one thing—large-scale systems
integration—and let others focus on being world class
at all those other things it used to do.
Says Pat Waters, a longtime Boeing engineer who
retired in January, "We used to build a better product.
I'm not so sure we can say that anymore."
Concerns about Boeing's corporate leadership and the
company's commitment to quality go deep, and not just
among its own engineers and workers. A crisis in the
company's executive suite erupted last December with the
resignation of chairman and chief executive Philip M.
Condit. His ability to hold the reins and guide the
aeronautics behemoth had already been in doubt when a
series of scandals happened on his watch. These included
the revelation that the company's chief financial
officer had offered a job to a U.S. Air Force
procurement officer who was still in a position to
decide who would win a US $17 billion contract for
tanker planes to refuel jets in midair.
Then there's the separate but related issue of growing
labor discord. Boeing employees say it stems from their
concern that, along with the shifts in Boeing's business
priorities, there came an unwelcome change in what they
had traditionally seen as a partnership with the
company. Employees, having seen their colleagues
"insourced," or transferred to another company to do the
same job at the same facility, but with lower pay and
fewer benefits, began wondering who would be next. "You
remember the last strike? What we mainly struck for was
respect," observes Waters, lamenting the tanker scandal,
uncertainties about the 7E7 rollout, and Boeing's
sluggish response to competition from Airbus. The
European company, once the David to Boeing's Goliath,
presents an ever more formidable challenge to its U.S. rival.
Founded In
1970,a dozen years after Boeing introduced
what was to become its enormously popular 707
jetliner—Airbus is a patched-together multinational
company based in Blagnac, France. It seemed an unlikely
contender at first. But by 1994, it claimed 30 percent
of the commercial jet market. Today, 10 years later, it
has closed the gap [see timeline, "Boeing vs. Airbus"]. And 10
years from now, claims Rainer Hertrich, chief executive
of Netherlands-based EADS NV, which owns 80 percent of
Airbus, "We'll be No. 1, everywhere, worldwide."
Hertrich was expressing Airbus's confidence that it can
begin doing business with U.S. carriers that have been
loyal Boeing customers.
Airbus has done this, in a nutshell, through a
combination of attractive pricing and quality product.
Formed from parts of the leading aerospace companies of
France, Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom, Airbus
was willing and able from the start to undercut Boeing's
prices for comparable planes in order to get its jets in
the air. Though the company doesn't like to discuss its
discounting strategy, there is a wide belief that it
often sells planes below cost—a strategy the Europeans
justify on the grounds that Boeing's civil aviation
division is subsidized, in effect, by the military work
the company does for the U.S. government.
U.S. congressional committees have documented that
Airbus's government backers, besides providing direct
subsidies, have helped it along with debt rollovers and
promises of choice landing slots at Europe's busiest
airports. Boeing's shareholders, observes analyst
Richard Aboulafia of the Teal Group Corp. in Fairfax,
Va., would never stand for the kind of discounts Airbus
has offered. Much more dependent on raising capital from
private shareholders, Boeing's executives have to
provide good return on investments, or they will be
shown the door.
Taking advantage of Europe's largesse, Airbus
developed a family of planes with similar cockpits and
the latest in computerized controls, making them
favorites among pilots. By the 1990s, Boeing was
beginning to founder, with a succession of planes that
failed to make it out of the company's R and D
program—most recently the flashy looking Sonic Cruiser,
announced to great fanfare a couple of years ago, only
to be dropped like a hot potato not long after.
"We used to build a better product. I'm not so
sure we can say that anymore
While Boeing dithered about what kind of new plane to
bring to the market, Airbus created a whole new ballgame
with the December 2000 announcement of the A380, its
550-passenger superjumbo, intended for hops between
major hubs where passengers can catch connecting flights
[see photo, "Airbus
Gamble "]. Airbus's obvious intention with
the A380, which analysts say actually could squeeze in
up to 800 passengers, is to start eating Boeing's lunch
in what has been one of its most lucrative markets, that
for the jumbo 747.
Boeing's answer, which it unveiled in 2002, is the
7E7, a midsize plane designed to carry between 200 and
300 passengers over so-called point-to-point, or
nonstop, routes ranging from 6500 to 16 000 kilometers.
Until this spring, Airbus was getting all the headlines,
having secured orders for nearly 150 of the A380 jumbo
jets, with plans for the first to take to the air in
2006. Under the circumstances, the 28 April announcement
by All Nippon Airways Co. (ANA) that it had signed a $6
billion launch order for the Boeing 7E7 arrived like a
stay of execution. Says analyst Aboulafia: "I would have
been prepared to say, even two or three months ago, that
there was a respectable chance of a stillbirth here, but
with the ANA launch order of this magnitude, the stakes
are way too huge now to back out."
Explaining the delay in introducing new airplane
models, William Oberlin, president of Boeing's Korean
operations, said, "Every time we've launched a new
plane, we've gotten it right. And that was our intention
here. We feel that with the 7E7 we've gotten it right again."
For The 7E7 To
Succeed, it seems almost a given that Boeing
will have to regain the confidence of the people who
will actually design and build the plane. One key reason
that poor morale continues to dog the company, as
Boeing's engineers see it, is the way it has handled the
paring down of its workforce and the disposal of its
assets in preparation for becoming, essentially, an
original equipment manufacturer in the commercial
aviation business.
Debbie Logsdon, a 24-year employee at Boeing's
Wichita, Kan., manufacturing facility, doubts Boeing can
ever regain its workers' trust. "They're outsourcing our
work. They're laying us off. They don't care." But
Charles Bofferding, executive director of SPEEA, thinks
that confidence could easily be rebuilt. "Most Boeing
employees today really want to love their company and be
part of something cool."
Boeing, of course, is singing an optimistic tune.
Debbie Nomaguchi, a Boeing public relations officer
whose focus is employee relations, insists that "having
a good relationship with the unions is very important to
Boeing." Asked whether Boeing—as it moves to its new
role as a large-scale integrator—thinks trimming its
workforce is necessary to fight off the challenge from
Airbus, she said, "If we can make the changes that we
need to make to be more competitive, then our products
will sell, our market will grow, and jobs will be
stable. It will probably be a smaller Boeing, but we'll
be able to offer more stability. That's the goal." As to
some Boeing engineers' suggestion that outsourcing and
selling of manufacturing facilities is affecting the
quality of planes, Oberlin said, "I am a longtime
heritage [that is, premerger] Boeing employee, and one
thing I can guarantee is a focus on quality. That is
integral to what we hold dear."
SPEEA president MacKay notes that, despite Boeing's
assurances, many employees still mistrust executives who
came from McDonnell Douglas following the merger of the
two companies in 1997.
Those include current Boeing chief executive Harry
Stonecipher, whose critics—and they are not confined to
union ranks—often argue that he and the board at
McDonnell Douglas emphasized short-term profit taking
over long-term investment, essentially starving the
commercial jet business and returning cash to
shareholders. The company went from a respectable
challenger in the commercial aviation market to an
also-ran as it focused on its highly profitable military
aircraft business. Could a similar fate lie in store for
Boeing? "If you do a comparison between [the old
McDonnell Douglas] and us right now [at Boeing], we look
almost identical," Logsdon worries.
Personalities
Aside, the fundamental concern is whether
Boeing is making the investments needed to be
competitive in the commercial aircraft markets in the
long run. In 1994, Boeing Commercial Airplanes spent
nearly 10 percent of its revenues, or roughly $1.6
billion, on R and D and process improvements. According
to the company's annual reports and other releases, R
and D spending for the unit fell off dramatically after
that—even as revenues surged upward before the 9/11
terrorist attacks. It dipped below 2 percent of revenues
in 1999 ($1.3 billion) and hasn't topped 3 percent
since. Last year's 3 percent investment in R and D
totaled $672 million.
Though Boeing notes that R and D spending will bounce
back in support of the 7E7, skimping on research has
translated into a depressing work environment for
engineers. Top-flight people want to be working on the
latest technologies, says Boeing employee Logsdon,
stating the obvious. But now, Boeing is running into
problems "getting engineers to come work there right out
of college."
So, even if the 7E7 means clemency for Boeing's
commercial jet business and its R and D unit, it remains
unclear whether an excessive frugality will hamstring
efforts to beat back the Airbus threat, and whether the
company can refurbish its reputation for delivering
first-rate planes on attractive terms.