Not just its size and
scope make the Iraqi reconstruction
effort unusual. Administratively, it is also unlike
anything else in recent history. In the electrical
sector alone, four bureaucracies have a major role. At
the top of this list is Iraq's Ministry of Electricity,
the huge and monolithic government agency that, in
theory at least, is responsible for everything related
to electricity in the country, from running power plants
to sending out bills.
Today, the Ministry of Electricity is one of several
Iraqi agencies working primarily with three U.S.
government organizations to operate, maintain, and
improve Iraq's infrastructure. Two of these three U.S.
organizations are temporary agencies created by a
presidential directive in May 2004. One is the Iraqi
Reconstruction Management Office (IRMO), which is part
of the U.S. State Department. The other is the Iraq
Project and Contracting Office (PCO), which was created
specifically to oversee the $18.4 billion set aside by
Congress in the fall of 2003 for Iraq's reconstruction.
The PCO was recently absorbed into the U.S. Army Corps
of Engineers, which had previously had a separate
presence in Iraq.
IRMO staffers, working in the huge diplomatic maze in
Saddam's vast former palace in Baghdad, advise key
officials at such Iraqi ministries as Interior, Oil, and
Electricity. They help them develop plans and
strategies, set priorities, monitor spending, and
coordinate with the U.S. military. The PCO, meanwhile,
oversees contracting for big projects and supplies. But
it is the IRMO, working with Iraqi officials, that has
final say over how reconstruction money is being
allocated. And in any case, the PCO, though now part of
the Army Corps of Engineers, reports to the U.S.
ambassador in Baghdad. So, ultimately, no large
U.S.-funded projects can be undertaken in Iraq without
the approval of the State Department.
The third U.S. bureaucracy involved in Iraqi
reconstruction is the U.S. Agency for International
Development (USAID), the government office created in
1961 to oversee nonmilitary foreign humanitarian
efforts.
The huge reconstruction effort is divided not only by
agencies but also by sectors and components within
sectors. In the electricity sector, there are separate
generation, transmission, and distribution components.
Many of the most important generating projects have been
under the auspices of the PCO; for many of these, the
supervisory contractor has been a company called the
Iraq Power Alliance [see sidebar, "Who's Who Among Electrical
Contractors in Iraq"]. It is a joint
venture of the engineering firms WorleyParsons Ltd., in
Sydney, Australia, and Parsons Brinckerhoff Ltd., in
London.
The engineering firms working in Iraq are among the
world's best. The fees they've been awarded are huge
even by the standards of big-project engineering. The
engineers they've sent to Iraq are capable,
hard-working, and often incredibly courageous, as I saw
for myself during a 10-day stay in which I was granted
access as unrestricted as the security situation
allowed.
So, nearly three years after reconstruction began,
why does Iraq's electrical infrastructure still fall
short by 4000 MW?
There are a lot of reasons. Here are the fundamental
ones:
-
A poor match between generating
technologies and the kinds of fuels
available in Iraq.
-
A well-armed insurgency that has made
destroying electrical infrastructure a
centerpiece of its bid to destroy the
country's fledgling democracy.
-
Revenue levels coming into the Ministry
of Electricity that are so low as to be
insignificant, a function of a ruinously low
rate structure and far too few electric
meters actually recording how much power
people are using.
-
Management and personnel problems at all
levels of the government, including the
ministry, which is generally believed to
have thousands of fictitious employees
created for the sole purpose of getting a
paycheck cashed by someone else.
-
The erosion of operational and,
particularly, maintenance skills among
workers at the country's Ministry of
Electricity.
On our way to the Quds
power plant, we pass through Baghdad's
northern outskirts in a three-car convoy. It's 9:30 in
the morning on a sunny but not oppressively hot autumn
day, and men, women, and children are out on the
streets. Some of the women wear dark chadors, the
traditional Islamic robes; some do not. Along the
roadside here and there, vendors sit by big piles of
watermelons or amid arrays of black plastic jugs of
gasoline.
Traffic is moderately heavy. Jim Hawkins, an Army
major sitting next to me in the armored Toyota Land
Cruiser, points out a white-and-orange sedan whose tail
is jacked up unusually high. It might be a future car
bomb, he says. The improvised bombs made by the
insurgents are heavy and are often based on explosives
from artillery shells. So to avoid the suspicion that a
car with a sagging tail end would arouse, insurgents
often jack up the rear suspension of a car before they
put a bomb in its trunk.
Behind me, I hear an occasional crack as one of the
security team in the trailing Land Cruiser fires a pin
flare into the road or a rifle shot into the air,
warning an approaching vehicle to back off.
We come upon a traffic jam that seems to extend ahead
for several kilometers at least (we can't see it at the
time, but there's an Iraqi military checkpoint up
ahead). With hardly any hesitation, our convoy swoops at
high speed across the median to the other side of the
highway, with traffic going in the opposite direction.
Our driver, a young, thin, silent Brit in dark glasses,
known as Fish, plunges into oncoming traffic. Happily
enough, it makes way for us. "This is the first time
I've ever done this sober," I joke nervously to Hawkins,
who is unfazed.
Our driver, a young, thin, silent Brit in dark
glasses, known as Fish, plunges into oncoming traffic
In the vicinity of the Quds complex, I notice several
towering flare stacks across the street from the power
plant, at an oil field called East Baghdad. Atop one of
the stacks, an enormous orange flame indicates that
natural gas pouring out of the oil deposits is being
burned off steadily to keep it from exploding. Such
flaring goes on continually all over Iraq. It is so
widespread in the huge southern oil fields west of Basra
that it actually fills the night sky with light.
The flaring is notable because if all that gas were
captured, pressurized, and distributed rather than being
burned off, it could be used to meet more than half of
Iraq's demand for electricity. At the moment, Iraq is
flaring more than 28 million cubic meters of gas a day.
It's enough to fire at least 4000 MW of electricity.
The gas is sorely needed. Most of the generating
units installed or refurbished so far during
reconstruction—40 out of a total of about 57—are based
on combustion turbines. They run optimally only when
being fueled by natural gas, which few of them are at
the moment. The rest are running on diesel fuel or heavy
derivatives of crude oil left over after the more
desirable fuel grades are separated out in refining.
Those more desirable grades of crude are shipped out
of Iraq, to bring desperately needed revenues into the
country. And the Ministry of Electricity pays the
Ministry of Oil only a small fraction of the
world-market price for the fuels it needs to generate
electricity. Thus, the Electricity Ministry must be
content with whatever it can get, and generally what it
gets are fuels that few other utilities in the world
would be willing to burn.
"The fuel situation is a mess," says Keith W. Crane,
senior economist at the Rand Corp.'s Washington office.
He was an advisor to Ambassador L. Paul Bremer, the
civil administrator of Iraq after the war. "There are no
prices, no incentives, nothing."
Diesel fuel, which isn't produced in sufficient
quantities in Iraq, is trucked to the generating plants
from Turkey at great cost. But that obstacle is nothing
compared with the problems of the heavy fuels, including
something called Bunker C, which powers a lot of Iraq's
generating plants. Even under the best circumstances, a
PCO generation specialist in Iraq tells me, a combustion
turbine running on crude oil or diesel fuel requires two
or three times as much maintenance as one running on
natural gas. And present-day Iraq isn't an example of
the best circumstances.
Before these heavy fuels can be burned in a
combustion turbine, they have to be treated with a
substance called an inhibitor to mitigate the effects of
elements like vanadium that would damage the turbine
blades. The inhibitor binds the vanadium to magnesium,
to keep the vanadium from corroding the blades.
Unfortunately, the resulting compounds are deposited on
the turbine blades. So the units have to be taken out of
service every week to have their blades cleaned.
"To buy inhibitor, in dollars per liter, is more
expensive than crude," one engineer tells me. "Last
summer," he goes on, "we bought all the inhibitor on the
shelf in the world for a four-month supply in Iraq. Let
me put it in simple terms: nobody's dumb enough to do
what we're doing."
Iraq's 110 combustion turbines alone could in theory
generate well over 4000 MW if they were being fueled by
natural gas. So far, though, the actual output of these
combustion turbine generators hasn't come close to half
of that figure. At Quds, I begin to understand why.