In contrast, Ford's description of its impressive
R&D program can charitably be described as
perfunctory. It simply lists, in two brief paragraphs,
how much it spends and where it spends it. Ford does not
provide a rationale for last year's 10 percent cut, nor
does it try to play up the company's continuing position
as one of the most R&D-intense companies in the
world. Ford's brevity may reflect other, competing goals
in such financial disclosures; the company may, for
instance, wish to keep its competitors in the dark.
Fortunately for investors, most other automakers
provide a level of detail that is closer to Toyota's
than to Ford's. Indeed, many companies cite their
R&D ranking as a source of strength. For example,
Samsung Electronics Co. says in its filing, “In 2006,
the Financial
Times ranked Samsung Electronics ninth in
R&D investment among 1250 companies around the
world…. This newspaper reported that over the past four
years, Samsung's massive investment in R&D has had a
great impact on the electronics industry, prompting
competitors to spend more on R&D.” As Spectrum reported
last year, Samsung surpassed Intel as the leading
spender on R&D in the semiconductor industry, a
position the South Korean company maintained this year
in spite of double-digit growth in Intel's spending [see
“IBM Takes
the Guesswork Out of Services Consulting,”
Spectrum Online, December 2006].
Another metric of R&D is the number of patents
that come out of it. Of course here, too, there must
necessarily be a lag between the investment and the
result. Samsung boasts of registering 2474 new patents
in the United States during 2006, raising it three
notches to place second, behind IBM, the world leader
for the 14th year in a row. The problem is that the
business value of patents varies greatly, so the sheer
number of patents correlates loosely at best with a
firm's actual performance [see “Keeping
Score in the IP Game,” Spectrum, November].
The filings also provide a window into R&D
collaborations between companies. For example, Motorola
highlighted its creation of a new joint research
facility with Huawei Technologies, in Shanghai, to bring
the Universal Mobile Telecommunications System and
High-Speed Downlink Packet Access cellphone technologies
to market. Intel touts its collaboration with Micron
Technology to develop NAND flash-memory technologies.
One more point: the year-by-year filings provide a
kind of slide show of the process of globalization. The
top R&D spenders are all multinational corporations,
and their R&D operations are themselves increasingly
dispersed around the world. Microsoft has R&D
facilities in Canada, China, Denmark, India, Ireland,
Israel, and the United Kingdom. Even upstart Google has
R&D centers in China, India, Israel, Japan, and
Russia.
How Wall Street's pros
evaluate R&D depends on the industry,
the company, and the individual analyst. R&D
Intensity is always the analyst's main benchmark, but
the key question is what, exactly, it is supposed to be
measuring. R&D is an investment in the future and
also an expense against current earnings. An analyst may
choose to favor either side of the equation.
Stephen R. Biggar, director of U.S. equity research
for Standard & Poor's (which is separate from the
data-generating arm of the company that supplied the
R&D statistics for this article) says that Wall
Street's desire for “instant gratification” is too high,
and it's getting higher. He blames a short-term outlook
that puts pressure on companies to shoot for
ever-quicker payoffs, which in turn tends to make them
shortchange R&D. The reason is that lag time again:
it takes a long time to yield profits—up to 15 years in
the pharmaceutical industry. That's forever to most
analysts, who generally forecast revenues and earnings
just two or three years out. He says those pressures are
stronger in the United States than in other countries
(perhaps because boards of directors in those countries
are less in thrall to shareholders).
Biggar says pressure for quick payoffs isn't all bad.
It induces companies to try to squeeze what they can out
of the plant and equipment they already have, which is
good for efficiency so long as no technological
revolution intervenes to render that equipment obsolete.
He also notes that R&D is viewed differently in each
sector. He says a good rule of thumb is that the higher
a sector's average R&D Intensity tends to be, the
more important R&D will be to analysts.