China's
enforcement of standards is as narrowly
balanced as a mountaineer on a knife-edged ridge.
Without standards that favor its fledgling industries,
the country may fall back into the low-tech, low-margin
abyss from which it has struggled to ascend. But if it
favors Chinese companies too much, it may fall into the
other abyss: market failure. Standards, after all, exist
to create world markets. They aim to increase the number
of potential customers by encouraging manufacturers to
form alliances, develop technology, and reduce per-unit
production costs.
ILLUSTRATION: ERIC BOWMAN
|
If the Chinese government and domestic players don't
reach a consensus on standards with international
companies, they could be left out of international
markets entirely. Then Chinese consumers would not be
able to enjoy the benefits of advanced technology and
reduced prices. To avoid falling into this situation,
the Chinese government jettisoned support for WAPI in
favor of continued amicable relations with the United
States, its largest trade partner.
Government and industry in China also write standards
to foster the development of homegrown technologies that
won't rely on foreign intellectual property. China feels
it must ensure that the nation's economy and security
cannot be disrupted by non-Chinese governments or
businesses. For example, in the mid-1990s Cisco Systems
Inc., in San Jose, Calif., supplied 80 percent of all
high-speed Internet routers, leaving the Net vulnerable
to actions by Cisco or cyberattacks against its
technologies. Since then, the government has encouraged
Chinese telecommunications carriers to broaden their
range of suppliers. As a result, many important
government contracts went to Huawei Technologies Co., a
Chinese vendor, and key deals were made with others,
such as Juniper Networks and Alcatel. By 2006, Cisco
will be just one of four high-end-router suppliers.
The government's goals, however, generally have less
to do with national security and more to do with
commerce: the primary intent is to make money in the
long run. Toward that end, the government has long
adopted a policy of inducing foreign investment in
Chinese technology. For example, China's patient
shepherding of TD-SCDMA, its third-generation cellphone
standard, has led a number of foreign telcos, including
Nokia Corp., in Espoo, Finland, and Siemens AG, in
Munich, Germany, to enter into strategic alliances and
joint ventures with Chinese manufacturers for developing
this standard and manufacturing compatible handsets.
Since the 1980s, the Chinese government has used both
carrots and sticks, and not all involve standards. A
beneficial tax policy for software developers, like ones
adopted in Beijing and Shanghai, is an example of a
carrot, while regulation—such as the WAPI
requirement—can be a strong stick with which to beat
off competition from non-Chinese technologies.
We've found that there are four commonly held points
of view—by people both inside and outside
China—regarding China's push for high-profile technical
standards. Each of them is only half true.
Chinese officials have defended the country's AVS
initiative by arguing that licensing fees for DVD core
technologies—which can run up to $20 for each unit
sold—are unreasonable in global markets, where buyers
demand prices as low as $39 per player. A similar
cost-cutting measure is the development of the TD-SCDMA
standard for cellphones.
Half-truth 1: Chinese standards are motivated by
the desire to circumvent payment of royalties.
When China joined the WTO, it agreed that domestic
companies would pay royalties for technologies protected
by patents, that it would apply equal treatment to
domestic and international players, and that its
domestic standards authorities would operate openly.
Consistent with those promises, though, China can still
underwrite technologies that don't infringe on foreign
patents.