Nothing quite captures India's dilemmas like the sorry tale of the
Dabhol power plant. Built by an Enron-led consortium near
Mumbai (Bombay) in the 1990s, Dabhol briefly produced power
for the grid, only to languish after local authorities and
the multinational company came to an impasse over electricity
pricing five years ago. Fast-growing but energy-poor, India
desperately needed and still needs the power the plant would
have provided. Yet local politicians, eager as ever to promise
their constituents below-market electricity prices and, if
possible, line their own pockets in the process, played on
Indians' traditional deep hostility toward foreign investment.
That, anyway, is pretty much how international investors have seen
the situation. But from India's perspective, to the contrary,
it was a tale of how the country, yet again, had been victimized
by a predatory globalizing corporation. From the outset, respected
critics warned that the plant and its electricity would be
too expensive, and circumstances strongly suggested that the
project would not have proceeded without money's changing
hands under the table
[see sidebar, "The Dabhol Tangle"].
Months after Dabhol was turned off in
2000 [see photo, "Shuttered"],
Enron's corporate leadership in Houston stood exposed, if
not as an outright criminal conspiracy, then at least as seriously
short on scruples.
This summer, however, an unprecedented power crisis in India's
western state of Maharashtra, home of the Dabhol facility,
has prompted fresh talks to complete and turn on the 2184-megawatt
power plant. The improved prospects for Dabhol, in turn, are
awakening hopes that India's entire power industry may finally
change for the better as it is reorganized to respect market
principles and encourage new technology. As India's largest
foreign investment, Dabhol was the icon for a more friendly
attitude toward outside capital after the national government
adopted market-oriented economic reforms in 1991.
Until recently, General Electric Co., in Fairfield, Conn., and
the U.S. engineering firm Bechtel Corp., in San Francisco, owned
just over 85 percent of the US $2.9 billion plant, having
taken over Enron's 65 percent stake. But at the end of
June, GE said it had agreed to sell its share to a group of financial
institutions. GE is expected, however, to stay on the Dabhol
project as a contractor—and Bechtel may as well
[see photo, "Ready To Go"].
With the Indian state-owned firms National Thermal Power Corp.
and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd., GE has been devising a
plan to start a smaller unit at Dabhol and then complete the
rest of the project.
"GE is pleased with the course of discussions with the various stakeholders
[in Dabhol] and looks forward to a complete resolution of
the outstanding issues," said Scott Bayman, president and
chief executive officer of GE India, in a written statement.
There are good reasons for GE's optimism about the state government's
intentions. This spring and summer, power cuts of up to 4
hours in midsize towns and as much as 9 hours in rural areas
provoked angry mobs to stone the offices of the Maharashtra
state electricity board (SEB), as terrified officials locked
themselves in. Even outlying suburbs of India's financial
capital were hit by brownouts.
With popular pressure mounting to provide more reliable electricity,
the state board's posture toward Dabhol has softened. Attitudes
also are changing in New Delhi. Two years ago, the federal
government enacted an electricity reform law designed to introduce
more competition and flexibility into the system, and that
change in philosophy is starting to make itself felt in the
provinces as well. "There is a very clear understanding and
recognition [among SEBs] of the fact that they need to move
toward a market model," in which prices would be set by free
markets rather than by board regulators, says Gaurav Bhatiani,
who has worked as a consultant to the U.S. Agency for International
Development on India's power distribution reforms. "Earlier,
four to five years back, they would have laughed if you had
said they [needed] competition."
Indian consumers, many of whom have to purchase backup power because
the grid is so unreliable, may be getting more realistic,
too, about what it will take to make the system work better.
"Nobody expects that the prices will automatically fall" with
electricity reform, says Kottilil Ramanathan, a senior fellow
at the Energy and Resources Institute, in New Delhi. What's
wanted most, he believes, is "better supply and service."
Still, there is a long way to go. Politicians consider SEBs their
personal fiefdoms—vehicles for giving heavily subsidized
or free electricity to farmers and other powerful groups.
In large states such as Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Punjab, Rajasthan,
and Maharashtra, officials openly use the government-run
distribution companies to win political support. The SEBs in such states
routinely operate at a loss, not only because of the electricity
they subsidize but also because of brazen theft. Often
users simply attach a cable to overhead power lines, preferring
to pay bribes rather than deal with the hassle of formally
applying for a metered electricity connection.
Maharashtra's current power crisis has forced political parties to rally
behind Dabhol. The plant could be producing 740 MW in its
first phase by the middle of next year.
But state officials still maintain that the plant can and must supply
power to the distribution companies at about 5 cents per kilowatthour,
instead of at the much higher rates originally negotiated.
If the perception takes hold that the SEB will not shake its
habit of selling electricity at a loss, the impact on foreign
investors will be unfortunate.
Just the same, consultant Bhatiani feels that India's moves to
end the virtual monopoly of the SEBs are a good signal to
potential investors. "The market is huge," he says, because
per capita electricity consumption in India is nowhere near
the level in other Asian countries. Average annual personal
consumption is about 500 kWh, compared with more than 900
kWh in China and nearly 9000 kWh in the United States. With
an installed capacity of 112 000 MW, India has set its sights
on adding 100 000 MW by 2012.
Eyeing that market, GE's chairman and chief executive officer, Jeffrey
R. Immelt, met with Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and other
top Indian ministers during a visit in May. Referring to Dabhol,
Immelt said, "We are very keen to put people on the ground
very quickly."
—Vir Singh