[1] Airline accident fatalities trended
downward during the rollout of air traffic
control technology in the '60s and '70s, but in
recent years have remained flat. (Accident
statistics reflect accidents due to all
causes—pilot error, airborne equipment failure,
and misunderstood communications, as well as
deficiencies in the air traffic control system.
Changes in air traffic control technology or
avionics can address only some of these causes.)
Meanwhile, worldwide air traffic is expected to
grow dramatically over the next two decades.
Unless the fatality rate can be pushed off of
its plateau to head down toward zero, the
increased traffic may lead to an unacceptable
number of fatal accidents. If the system does
not change significantly, by the year 2015 there
could be a major aviation accident every seven
to 10 days, according to one projection.